Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 9.365478e-04 0.001077 0.001218 0.001372 0.001533 0.001697 0.001875
2025-08-17 7.016842e-04 0.000898 0.001105 0.001336 0.001586 0.001845 0.002134
2025-08-24 4.861000e-04 0.000712 0.000962 0.001251 0.001572 0.001913 0.002298
2025-08-31 3.557144e-04 0.000604 0.000891 0.001235 0.001624 0.002044 0.002526
2025-09-07 2.679987e-04 0.000533 0.000854 0.001249 0.001706 0.002205 0.002782
2025-09-14 1.750645e-04 0.000439 0.000780 0.001214 0.001725 0.002292 0.002955
2025-09-21 1.250948e-04 0.000393 0.000759 0.001237 0.001809 0.002449 0.003202
2025-09-28 9.709099e-05 0.000374 0.000769 0.001295 0.001931 0.002648 0.003495
2025-10-05 5.800170e-05 0.000325 0.000735 0.001295 0.001982 0.002764 0.003693
2025-10-12 3.395494e-05 0.000293 0.000721 0.001318 0.002059 0.002907 0.003919
2025-10-19 1.057600e-05 0.000245 0.000677 0.001299 0.002083 0.002987 0.004074
2025-10-26 1.916117e-07 0.000203 0.000638 0.001283 0.002108 0.003068 0.004227
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000126 0.000543 0.001206 0.002077 0.003106 0.004359
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000079 0.000484 0.001174 0.002102 0.003211 0.004572
2025-11-16 NaN 0.000031 0.000398 0.001095 0.002064 0.003240 0.004697
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000011 0.000358 0.001080 0.002107 0.003365 0.004933
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000002 0.000339 0.001094 0.002186 0.003534 0.005221
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000293 0.001061 0.002201 0.003623 0.005412
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.000281 0.001083 0.002288 0.003800 0.005707
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.000289 0.001138 0.002421 0.004032 0.006067
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.000267 0.001138 0.002476 0.004168 0.006312
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.000258 0.001160 0.002560 0.004338 0.006597
2026-01-11 NaN NaN 0.000229 0.001142 0.002589 0.004438 0.006797